Are Spain the favorites to win the 2026 World Cup?

Spain’s triumphant performance in the 2024 UEFA European Championship has reignited discussions about their prowess on the international football stage.

After a dominant run through the tournament, culminating in a thrilling 2-1 victory over England in the final, Spain has again cemented its place among the elite footballing nations. 

The win marked Spain’s fourth European Championship title and their third in the last five editions, highlighting a resurgence reminiscent of their golden era between 2008 and 2012.

The 2024 Euro victory was not just about the trophy but also a showcase of Spain’s blend of experience and youth. Under the guidance of Luis de la Fuente, the team exhibited tactical brilliance, resilience, and a deep squad capable of overcoming significant challenges, such as the injury of key midfielder Rodri in the final. 

The emergence of young talents like Nico Williams and 17 year old wonderkid Lamine Yamal, who became the youngest player to ever score in the tournament, added a fresh dynamism to the team that none of their opponents managed to contain.

As the football world looks to the 2026 World Cup, the question arises: After their dominant Euro 2024 performance, should Spain be considered as favorites to achieve World Cup glory in two years? 

Bookmakers’ Favorites for the 2026 World Cup

Now with the Euros and Copa America over, anticipation is beginning to build for the 2026 World Cup, and bookmakers have begun to weigh in on who the likely contenders will be. 

According to the most recent odds by top betting sites, Spain currently shares the label of favorites with two other teams: France and Brazil. All three teams are priced at odds of 7/1.

While France succumbed to the Spaniards in the semi finals of Euro 2024 with a score of 2-1, they are expected to regroup and bounce back from this defeat. Known for having one of the deepest pools of talent in the international football world, including the prolific Kylian Mbappe and an array of young talents emerging from their youth system, France is well-equipped to mount a serious challenge.

Brazil, meanwhile, suffered a disappointing Copa America campaign, which had them crashing out in the quarter finals, having won only one of their games. 

Given the current state of affairs, their status as one of the favorites seems puzzling, however the team will be looking to bounce back and reassert their dominance on the world stage.

Euro 2024 runner up England is also close behind with odds of 7.5. The Three Lions have been consistently strong in recent tournaments, including a semi-final appearance in the 2018 World Cup and back to back runner-up finish in the past two Euro campaigns. While they are currently looking for a new coach after Gareth Southgate’s resignation, England’s resilient and talented squad has two years to offer a winning formula that can finally realize their huge potential.

The reigning World Champions and back to back Copa America winners Argentina, are listed at odds of 10/1. Considering their current winning streak, these odds seem quite low, however given the uncertainty on whether legendary captain and GOAT candidate Leo Messi will make it to the cup.

However, Argentina showed in the Copa America final they no longer rely on Messi to make things happen,  winning the trophy after the captain was subbed off early due to injury. 

What Spain Needs to Do for World Cup Glory

Spain’s triumph at Euro 2024 has set a high bar, but to achieve World Cup success, they must build on their strengths and address key areas. Here are the critical steps Spain needs to take to increase their chances of lifting the trophy in 2026.

Maintain Defensive Solidity

Spain’s defensive strength was a cornerstone of their Euro 2024 success. To replicate this in the World Cup, they need to ensure their backline remains robust and well-organized. The combination of experienced defenders and promising young talents must continue to gel. 

Developing a strong understanding and communication between the defenders and the goalkeeper is crucial in maintaining clean sheets against top-tier international competition. 

Additionally, the defensive midfielders play a vital role in shielding the backline, and their ability to break up opposition play and start counter-attacks is essential​.

Integrate and Develop Young Talents

The integration of young players like Lamine Yamal was pivotal in the Euros, and nurturing these talents will be key for future success. Providing these players with ample playing time in high-stakes matches can help them gain the necessary experience and confidence. 

The Spanish coaching staff must focus on developing these young stars, ensuring they are ready to step up when needed. Their youthful exuberance, combined with the wisdom of seasoned players, can create a balanced and formidable squad​.

Control the Midfield

Spain’s dominance in the midfield allowed them to control the flow of the game throughout the Euros. This will be even more critical in the World Cup, where the quality of opposition will be higher. 

Players like Pedri, Rodri and Dani Olmo need to maintain their form and continue dictating the tempo. The ability to retain possession, make incisive passes, and transition smoothly between defense and attack will be vital. Developing tactical variations to counter different styles of play will also be essential for maintaining midfield superiority​​.

Ensure Tactical Flexibility and Depth

Spain’s success in the Euros was partly due to their tactical flexibility, as coach Luis de la Fuente was able to adapt strategies based on the opponent and match situation. 

For the World Cup, Spain will need to build on this flexibility, preparing multiple tactical plans and formations. Depth in the squad will be crucial, as injuries have plagued the Spanish side throughout recent years. 

Having capable substitutes who can seamlessly fit into the system will ensure that the team can maintain high performance levels throughout the competition​.

Conclusion

Spain’s remarkable performance in the Euro 2024 has laid a strong foundation for their campaign in the 2026 World Cup. The blend of experience and youth, guided by astute tactical management, gives Spain a promising outlook as they aim for World Cup glory in two years.

With a well-rounded squad and a clear vision for the future, Spain is well-equipped to tackle the challenges that lie ahead on the global stage. The next two years will be crucial in refining their strategies and preparing for what promises to be an exciting World Cup journey.

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